Tag Archives: S&P500

Stock Market Likely to Crash From Here

1 Mar

Triple Top?

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones are both once again near all-time highs…for the third time.  The old saying third time’s a charm can work both ways when it comes to the stock market.  Sometimes an index will bust through to new highs, and other times it will fail spectacularly crashing to new lows.

We should all be watching the behavior of the major indexes here, because the possibility of a major triple-top failure is quite high, for reasons outlined below.

If the S&P 500 fails at the triple top and breaks down, from a charting perspective the next thing for it to do is revisit the bottom and then make up its mind as to what it wants to do next.  The implication here is that a major failure of the S&P 500 will open the possibility of it revisiting the 600-800 level, or some 45% to 60% lower from the 1,500 level where it currently churns.

It will take some time to get to that level, typically 3-6 months, unless there’s some sort of financial accident to hasten things along, in which case it could all be over in a month or two.

SP-500-triple-top Continue reading

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Stock Market High Complacency, The Bear Will Decimate Your Wealth

26 Jan

By: Zeal_LLC

The US stock markets have been surging in one heck of a January rally.  The combination of the fiscal-cliff tax deal and generally solid Q4 earnings have propelled stocks to their best levels in 5 years.  But these gains have been accompanied by stellar complacency.  Traders are extremely bullish, convincing themselves this rally is only beginning.  But high complacency near major highs really means serious downside risk. Continue reading

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